Every week we will be taking a look at DFS plays with the same goal – taking home as much cash as possible. Week 1 was a wild ride but now we have more of an idea of how these teams want to operate and what can we expect moving forward. This week we will be looking at some lines from our friends over at No House Advantage.
The rules are simple: Select player props and earn points for correct selections. The more points you score, the more you can win. Be sure to use code “COACHES” when signing to get a deposit match up to $25! Here are some of my favorite props to target for week 2:
Saquon Barkley over 26.5 receiving yards.
This one may be my favorite of the whole slate. Saquon is fully back and showed it in week 1, tallying 194 yards on 24 touches. He has elite speed and is always a threat for busting it open on one play for a long touchdown. He had multiple plays of 10+ yards in week one, although none of them came through the receiving game. That changes this week. He was targeted 7 times and was able to carve out 30 yards on 6 catches. It is very possible he can reach his over on 1 reception this week. The panthers defense was just gashed for over 217 yards by the Browns backfield. This is an easy pick for me.
Antonio Gibson over 66.5 rushing yards
Gibson is playing the lions who just allowed 216 yards rushing and over 5.5 yards per attempt on the ground (not to mention 4 rushing touchdowns). Ron Rivera has stated he trusts Gibson and he gave him every opportunity to show it in week 1. Brian Robinson is still working his way back into playing shape after his incident. J.D. McKissic was only given 3 rushing attempts in week 1. Gibson is the true bell cow in this backfield for the time being and he averaged a respectable 4.1 yards per carry against the Jags. I don’t expect Carson Wentz to go out and throw 41 passes again against this defense that just allowed zero passing touchdowns in week 1. Ron Rivera is a smart coach that should utilize the opportunity to attack the Lions where they are weakest, which is through the running game. Gibson will set the tone for this offense.
Amon-Ra St. Brown over 5.5 / over 61.5 receiving yards
I like both of the overs for the Sun God in week 2. He finished the 2021 season strong and started off 2022 just as hot. He amassed a massive 32% target share (9th in the league) and was Jared Goff’s obvious number 1 guy. The over/under numbers have not caught up to a player who is the Lions clear number 1 receiver. The chemistry with Goff is there dating back to last season. With 12 targets in week 1, he has a very safe floor at worst and potential to explode when the Lions are playing from behind which is the most likely scenario most weeks. On top of all this, the Commanders have a dominant pass rush. When quarterbacks feel pressure, they look to their safety net in the offense. I expect this to be the case with ASB this week and love the opportunity here.
Tom Brady under 276.5 passing yards
The length of the injury report in Tampa Bay is truly troubling for it just being week 2 of the season. Chris Godwin has already been ruled out. Every other starting wide receiver missed practice to some extent this week with injuries and are all listed as questionable for the game against the Saints on Sunday. Pair all this with an already banged up offensive line and it spells trouble for Brady and the Buccaneers as a whole. The Saints defense is strong at every level and have one of the best young corners in the game in Marshon Lattimore. Tom Brady is 0-4 against the Saints since joining the Bucs. In 3 of those 4 games he has failed to reach the passing yards mark set for this week and only thrown for 2 touchdowns COMBINED. He had some rust to knock off in week 1 and was barely able to break 200 yards against the Cowboys. All signs point to this being a down week for Brady in the passing game.
Amari Cooper under 52.5 receiving yards
Amari Cooper is a talented player, but he is in one of the worst situations for producing as a receiver. The Cleveland Browns are a run first team with arguably the best one-two punch of running backs in football. The duo of Chubb and Hunt combined for 187 yards on the ground. When they do pass, Jacoby Brissett is wildly inconsistent on his throws and his yards per pass attempt were a league worst 4.3 in week 1. He only completed 52.94% of his passes (18 of 34 attempts) and finished with 147 yards. Cooper received 6 of those targets but was only able to haul in 3 for 17 yards. The Browns face the Jets in week 2 and it will be more of the same with the game plan. They will have no problem establishing the run and if it isn’t broke, why fix it? We can expect Cooper to be stuck in this bad situation for most of the season and I will happily bet the under this week.
JK Dobbins under 40.5 rushing yards.
Keep an eye on this one. If Dobbins is active on Sunday versus the Dolphins I don’t expect him to immediately step in to a full workload. He will most likely be eased back in after missing all of last season with an ACL injury. A snap count is a true possibility. Lamar Jackson is the RB1 of this team and Kenyan Drake will most likely handle passing game duties for the time being. The Dolphins defense was strong against the run in week 1 against the Patriots, allowing only 78 yards on 22 rush attempts. We can expect Dobbins to be productive later in the season but don’t jump the gun just yet.
Thank you so much for reading! If you are interested in more DFS opportunity, be sure to check out nohouseadvantage.com! With code “COACHES” they will match your first deposit up to $25!